In a year’s time there’ll be national elections. In a year’s time we will be more or less in the same condition as Greece is today. According to the most optimistic forecasts, GDP in 2012 will be down by 1.3% and that means about one million two hundred thousands fewer jobs. The only countries worse than us will be Greece and Portugal, which are nations that have basically gone bust. Credit to companies has disappeared. Credit already granted will be called in and no more loans will be made. Banks are holding up thanks to the loans from the ECB, money that anyway belongs to the States, thus our money, money belonging to the citizens. Money taken away from development to buy public bonds and banking bonds. The country has reached its limit and they are trying to revive it by checking on receipts in the shops, that are closing down ever more frequently, and with alarming penalties from Equitalia in relation to ordinary citizens. A joke.
Social disorder is about to happen and the parties are getting ready. In Spring 2013 anything could happen. The elections are a watershed. There are various working hypotheses to prevent a radical change and the disappearance of the current parties. The bar of 8% for the Lower House and of 12% for the Senate. A double reward for coalition (if you don’t become an ally and get over the bar you still find yourself with a handful of parliamentarians). The birth of a Single Party (the “Party of the Nation”?) with PDL, PDminusL and Udc in the same bundle. More or less what happens now with the unified vote for Rigor Montis from Berlusconi, Bersani and Casini. Basically an officialisation of a state of affairs for another legislature while maintaining a billion in public financing and the squashing of any result of a referendum or popular laws. As before, but more so.
The elections will be incandescent. I’m not excluding the possibility of a postponement if the situation were to get out of control. The bombing season could return. They will never give up (neither will we). See you (in any case) in Parliament.